2010 United States Senate election in Florida
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Template:FixBunching The 2010 United States Senate election in Florida will take place on November 2, 2010 along with other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as all elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. One term Senator Mel Martinez was elected in a very close race against Democrat Betty Castor in 2004 with 49% of the vote. Martinez announced on December 2, 2008 that he would not seek re-election to the Senate,[1] and would resign prior to the end of his term.[2] In August of 2009, Governor Charlie Crist announced that he would appoint his former Chief of Staff, George Lemieux, a Republican, to the Senate seat being vacated by Mr. Martinez.
Governor Crist publicly announced he was running for the seat in mid-2009. At the time he received many Republican endorsements, such as the National Republican Senatorial Committee, that of retiring Mel Martinez, and the 2008 Republican presidential nominee John McCain. His support of the national stimulus package hurt his popularity among conservatives, and candidate Marco Rubio surged. In April 2010 Crist announced he would drop out the Republican primary and run as an independent. The National Republican Senatorial Committee withdrew its endorsement of Crist and demanded a refund of its campaign funds that it provided for the Crist campaign.[3][4][5]Congressman Kendrick Meek was the first Democrat to declare his intention to run.
Democratic primary
Background
Many Democratic politicians were mentioned as potential candidates for the race. Representatives Debbie Wasserman Schultz[6] and Robert Wexler,[7] announced in 2008 that they would not run. Congressman Kendrick Meek was the first Democrat to declare his intention to run.[8] Upon Chief Financial Officer Alex Sink's decision to run for governor,[9] State Senator Dan Gelber formed an exploratory committee.[10] However, Gelber ultimately decided not to run, so as to avoid a divisive primary. Congressman Meek has enlisted the aid of former President Bill Clinton, who hosted a fundraiser for him in Jacksonville.[11] Term limited North Miami mayor Kevin Burns, who is openly gay, has also announced his candidacy for the Senate seat.[12] On April 30, 2010, Palm Beach billionaire Jeff Greene announced he was running.
The primary is scheduled to take place on August 24, 2010.[13]
Candidates
Qualifying
These candidates formally qualified to appear on the Florida Democrat Primary ballot.[14]
- Kendrick B. Meek, U.S. Congressman
- Glenn Burkett
- Kevin Burns
- Maurice Ferre
- Jeff Greene, billionaire businessman
Announced
Potential
- Rod Smith, State Senator and 2006 gubernatorial candidate[17]
Declined
- Allen Boyd, U.S. Representative[18]
- Dan Gelber, Florida Senator (initially ran, then dropped out to run for the Democratic nomination for Florida Attorney General)
- Pam Iorio, Mayor of Tampa.[19]
- Ron Klein, U.S. Representative from Florida's 22nd congressional district[20] Endorsed Kendrick Meek on June 15, 2009 [21]
- Alex Sink, Chief Financial Officer of Florida[9] (running for Governor of Florida)
- Debbie Wasserman Schultz, U.S. Representative[6] [22]
- Robert Wexler, U.S. Representative [7]
- Corrine Brown, U.S. Representative from Florida's 3rd congressional district (initially ran, the dropped out to seek re-election to the House)[23]
Polling
| Poll Source | Dates Administered | Glenn Burkett | Maurice Ferre | Jeff Greene | Kendrick Meek |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac | June 2–8, 2010 | –– | 3% | 27% | 29% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 16-18, 2010 | 4% | 6% | 25% | 28% |
| Quinnipiac | July 22-27, 2010 | –– | 4% | 33% | 23% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kendrick Meek | |||
| Democratic | Jeff Greene | |||
| Democratic | Maurice Ferre | |||
| Democratic | Glenn Burkett | |||
| Democratic | Kevin Burns | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Republican primary
Background
Upon Senator Martinez's announcement that he would not run for reelection, early speculation surrounded former Governor Jeb Bush.[24] It was thought that if Bush decided to run, other potential Republican candidates would allow Bush to run uncontested. After consideration, Bush decided not to run.[25]
Former House Speaker Marco Rubio was the first Republican to enter the race back in May but the National Republican Senatorial Committee Chairman John Cornyn announced the NRSC's endorsement of Charlie Crist.[26] Other Republicans mentioned as potential candidates include Florida House Majority Leader Adam Hasner,[7] Representatives Connie Mack IV, and Dr. Belinda Noah, a prominent lawyer and adjunct law professor. Bob Smith, a former United States Senator from New Hampshire, announced he is running for the seat.[27] Joe Scarborough, a former Congressman and current MSNBC TV host, told the Sarasota Herald-Tribune that he may run for office again, and was considering running for this seat,[28] though an MSNBC spokesman refuted that Scarborough might run.[29] On the air, while interviewing White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs, Scarborough dismissed the idea that he would run.[30]
In August 2009, Mel Martinez retired before the end of his term, leaving Crist in the position to appoint a replacement, George LeMieux, a Republican regarded as a placeholder for Crist. Rubio stated, "Florida deserves better." Democrat, Kendrick Meek expressed disappointment as well, asserting that Crist should have appointed someone qualified rather than the top names "in his cell phone." The Democratic Party of Florida issued an email the same day titled, "George LeMieux (R-Cronyism)", echoing the bipartisan disapproval of Crist's choice, who was the Deputy Attorney General under Crist, and his Chief of Staff.
After being behind in the polls, Rubio began to cut into Crist's lead, mostly as a reaction to Crist's support of the stimulus bill, which Rubio opposed.[31] Crist subsequently fell behind Rubio by over 20 points. On April 16, Crist's campaign manager, Connie Mack, resigned. Ostensibly as a reaction to Crist's veto of a controversial education bill that tied teacher's pay to their students' test scores, it is seen as a reaction to Crist's increasingly poor showing in the polls.[32] Speculation began that Crist would drop out of the Republican primary and run as an independent before April 30, the Florida filing deadline. Polling showed that although Crist was trailing Rubio considerably in the Republican primary, were he to run as an independent, the three-way race would become more competitive; Crist was is currently leading Meek and Rubio in aggregate three-way polling.[33][34][35]
On 28 April, Crist campaign officials confirmed that Crist would be running as an independent and planned to drop out of the Republican primary.[36][37]
The primary is being held August 24, 2010.[13]
Candidates
Qualified
These candidates have formally qualified to appear on the Florida Republican Primary ballot.[14]
- William Escoffery, Dr. William Escoffery, III
- William Billy Kogut
- Marco Rubio, former Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives
- Marion Thorpe
Announced
- Bob Coggins, Marine veteran [38]
- Rev. Gwyndolyn McClellan, former Director of Legislation and Communications for the National Association of State Boards of Education.[39] Has stated that the race has already been decided by the "leaders" of our nation and that the United States is the most "corrupt and valueless country that exists."[40]
- Linda Vasquez Littlefield, attorney [41]
Potential
- Frank Brogan, Chancellor of the State University System, former Lieutenant Governor and president of Florida Atlantic University
- Adam Hasner, Florida House Majority Leader[7]
Declined
- George LeMieux, incumbent Senator
- Allan Bense, former Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives [42]
- Vern Buchanan, U.S. Representative[43]
- Jeb Bush, former Governor of Florida[25]
- Connie Mack IV, U.S. Representative[44]
- Joe Scarborough, former Congressman and TV commentator[28]
- Bill McCollum, Attorney General[18]
- Adam Putnam, U.S. Representative [45]
- Robert C. (Bob) Smith, former U.S. Senator from New Hampshire[46]
Endorsements
All made while Crist was running as an Republican
Crist
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Polling
| Poll Source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of Error |
Charlie Crist | Marco Rubio | William Escoffery | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research 2000 (report) |
January 26–28, 2009 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 57% | 4% | –– | 39% | |
| Quinnipiac University (report) |
June 2–7, 2009 | 486 | ± 4.5% | 54% | 23% | 1% | 21% | |
| Quinnipiac University (report) |
August 12–17, 2009 | 446 | ± 4.6% | 55% | 26% | 1% | 18% | |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) |
August 19, 2009 | 470 | ± 5.0% | 53% | 31% | 5% | 11% | |
| Quinnipiac University (report) |
October 12–18, 2009 | 396 | ± 4.9% | 50% | 35% | 1% | 12% | |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) |
October 20, 2009 | 466 | ± 4.5% | 49% | 35% | 4% | 12% | |
| Research 2000 (report) |
November 16–18, 2009 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 47% | 37% | –– | 16% | |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) |
December 14, 2009 | 431 | ± 5.0% | 43% | 43% | 5% | 9% | |
| Quinnipiac University (report) |
January 26, 2010 | 673 | ± 3.8% | 44% | 47% | –– | 8% | |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) |
January 27, 2010 | 449 | ± 5.0% | 37% | 49% | 3% | 11% | |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) |
February 18, 2010 | 442 | ± 5.0% | 36% | 54% | 4% | 7% | |
| Public Policy Polling (report) |
March 5–8, 2010 | 492 | ± 4.4% | 28% | 60% | –– | 12% | |
| The Florida Times-Union (report) |
March 9, 2010 | 512 | ± 4.0% | 26% | 60% | 4% | –– | |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) |
March 18, 2010 | 494 | ± 4.5% | 34% | 56% | 1% | 8% | |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) |
April 8, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 28% | 57% | 3% | 12% | |
| Quinnipiac University (report) |
April 8–13, 2010 | 497 | ± 4.4% | 33% | 56% | 1% | 10% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Marco Rubio | |||
| Republican | Marion Thorpe | |||
| Republican | William Kogut | |||
| Republican | William Escoffery | |||
| Total votes | ||||
Other candidates
Constitution
Independents
These candidates have formally qualified to appear on the Florida General Election ballot as No Party Affiliation.[14]
- Charlie Crist, current Governor of Florida[36][37]
- Lewis Jerome Armstrong
- Sue Askeland
- Bobbie Bean
- Bruce Ray Riggs
- Rick Tyler [11]
Libertarian
These candidates have formally qualified to appear on the Florida General Election ballot as Libertarian Party.[83]
- Alexander Snitker, Marine veteran [14][84]
Write-Ins
These candidates have qualified for the General Election as Write In Candidates.[14]
- Piotr Blass
- George Drake
- Howard Knepper
- Carol Ann Joyce LaRosa
- Richard Lock Vote-2010.com
- Robert Monroe
- Belinda Quarterman-Noah
General election
Polling
| Poll Source | Dates Administered | Margin of Error | Independent | Republican nominee | Democratic nominee | Libertarian nominee | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Crist | Marco Rubio | William Escoffery | Jeff Greene | Kendrick Meek | Alexander Snitker | ||||
| Research 2000 | November 16–18, 2009 | ± 4.0% | –– | 32% | 27% | –– | 31% | –– | |
| Miami Herald | January 31, 2010 | ± 3.46% | 26% | 31% | 24% | ||||
| Public Policy Polling | March 5–8, 2010 | ± 3.4% | 27% | 34% | 25% | ||||
| Research 2000 | March 15–17, 2010 | ± 5.0% | 29% | 32% | 27% | ||||
| Rasmussen Reports | March 18, 2010 | unknown | 22% | 42% | 25% | ||||
| Quinnipiac | April 8–13, 2010 | ± 4.4% | 32% | 30% | 24% | ||||
| Rasmussen Reports | April 21, 2010 | ± 4.5% | 30% | 37% | 22% | ||||
| McLaughlin & Associates | April 24–25, 2010 | unknown | 33% | 29% | 15% | ||||
| Rasmussen Reports | May 3, 2010 | ± 4.5% | 38% | –– | 34% | 17% | |||
| Rasmussen Reports | May 16, 2010 | ± 4.5% | 31% | 39% | 18% | ||||
| St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9 | May 14-18, 2010 | ± 4.0% | 30% | 27% | 15% | ||||
| Rasmussen Reports | June 7, 2010 | ± 4.5% | 41% | 37% | 13% | –– | |||
| 37% | 37% | –– | 15% | ||||||
| Quinnipiac | June 1-7, 2010 | ± 4.7% | 40% | 33% | 14% | –– | |||
| 37% | 33% | –– | 17% | ||||||
| Florida Chamber of Commerce | June 9–13, 2010 | ± 4.0% | 42% | 31% | –– | 14% | |||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 6, 2010 | ± 4.5% | 33% | 37% | 18% | –– | |||
| 34% | 36% | –– | 15% | ||||||
| Ipsos/Reuters | July 9-11, 2010 | ± 4.0% | 35% | 28% | –– | 17% | |||
| 34% | 29% | 18% | –– | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling | July 16–18, 2010 | ± 3.26% | 35% | 29% | –– | 17% | 4% | ||
| 38% | 29% | 13% | –– | 3% | |||||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 21, 2010 | ± 4.0% | 33% | 35% | –– | 20% | –– | ||
| 36% | 34% | 19% | –– | –– | |||||
| Quinnipiac | July 22-27, 2010 | ± 3.2% | 39% | 33% | –– | 13% | –– | ||
| 37% | 32% | 17% | –– | –– | |||||
Fundraising
| Candidate (Party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash On Hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Crist (I) | $12,245,508 | $4,020,863 | $8,224,644 | $98,544 |
| Kendrick Meek (D) | $7,060,269 | $3,004,471 | $4,056,804 | $0 |
| Marco Rubio (R) | $11,546,046 | $7,122,913 | $4,441,133 | $0 |
| Jeff Greene (D) | $5,870,595 | $5,857,356 | $13,239 | $5,933,596 |
| Marion Thorpe (R) | $310,438 | $307,847 | $2,591 | $5,987 |
| Maurice Ferre (D) | $130,934 | $127,470 | $3,463 | $20,000 |
| Kevin Burns (D) | $97,655 | $85,534 | $12,119 | $75,920 |
| Gwyndolyn McClellan (R) | $3,431 | $3,431 | $0 | $0 |
| Alexander Snitker (Lib.) | $4,486 | $3,421 | $1,064 | $0 |
| Bernie DeCastro (C) | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[85] | ||||
External links
- Florida Secretary of State - Division of Elections
- U.S. Congress candidates for Florida at Project Vote Smart
- Florida U.S. Senate from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
- 2010 Florida Senate Election graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Florida Senate from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Florida Senate Race from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Florida Senate Race from CQ Politics
- Official campaign websites
- William Escoffery for U.S. Senate
- Kevin Burns for U.S Senate
- Bob Coggins for U.S. Senate
- Charlie Crist for U.S. Senate
- Bernie DeCastro for U.S. Senate
- Maurice Ferre for U.S. Senate
- Jeff Greene for U.S. Senate
- Kendrick Meek for U.S. Senate
- Marco Rubio for U.S. Senate
- Bob Smith for U.S. Senate
- Alexander Snitker for U.S. Senate
- Richard Lock for U.S. Senate
- Bruce Ray Riggs for U.S. Senate
References
- ^ Dana Bash and Ted Barrett (2008-12-02). "Sen. Martinez won't seek reelection". CNN.com.
- ^ Drucker, David M. (2009-02-02). "Martinez Eyeing Early Exit as Crist Looks at Senate Seat". Roll Call.
- ^ "If Crist leaves party, GOP donors vow to take cash back". Washington Times. 2010-04-29. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ^ "Cornyn on Crist: I Want My Money Back - The Note". Blogs.abcnews.com. 2010-04-29. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ^ "Marco Rubio on Charlie Crist Party Switch in Florida Senate Race - ABC News". Abcnews.go.com. 2010-02-18. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ^ a b Cillizza, Chris (2008-12-03). "Florida's Martinez Says He Will Retire in 2010". Washington Post.
- ^ a b c d Gibson, William E. (2008-12-02). "Adam Hasner for U.S. Senate? How about Rubio, McCollum, or Gelber?". Sun Sentinel.
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- ^ a b "Sink Not Running For Senate". Politico. 2009-01-09.
- ^ Deslatte, Aaron (2009-01-). "With Sink out, Gelber getting into the Senate race". Orlando Sentinel.
{{cite web}}: Check date values in:|date=(help) - ^ Adam Smith (March 4, 2009). "Bill Clinton raising more money for Meek". St. Petersburg Times.
- ^ "Ex-North Miami mayor to seek Senate Seat". Miami Harold. 2009-02-16.
- ^ a b "General Voting Information". State of Florida. 2010-03-06.
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{{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in:|publisher=(help) - ^ Barr, Andy (2009-02-10). "Gibbs grills 'Senator Scarborough'". Politico.
- ^ "Rubio: Crist's stimulus support 'horrifying'". The Washington Times. 2009-02-04.
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- ^ "Does Crist Veto Signal an Independent Run?". The Wall Street Journal. 2009-04-15.
- ^ a b "Crist to Run as Independent in FL Sen Race « Liveshots". Liveshots.blogs.foxnews.com. 2010-04-28. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ^ a b "Crist to run for Senate as independent candidate". CNN. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
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- ^ "Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State". Election.dos.state.fl.us. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ^ "Jumping in Pools: U.S. Senate Candidate Gwyndolyn McClellan (R, FL): "The United States of America... is one of the most Corrupt and Valueless Countries that Exist"". Jumpinginpools.blogspot.com. 2010-03-31. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ^ "Linda Vasquez Littlefield Announces Bid for U.S. Senate". PRNewswire-USNewswire. 2009-01-07. Retrieved 2009-01-12.
- ^ "Bense says he's not running in 2010 | Naked Politics". Miamiherald.typepad.com. 2009-05-12. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ^ [2]
- ^ "US Rep. Mack won't seek Fla. Senate seat". Miami Herald. Associated Press. April 2, 2009.
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- ^ Cassidy, Austin (March 26, 2010). "Former Senator Bob Smith Bows Out of Senate Race". The Jacksonville Observer.
{{cite news}}: Unknown parameter|accessdae=ignored (|access-date=suggested) (help) - ^ [3][dead link]
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al [4][dead link]
- ^ a b c [5][dead link]
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- ^ "Bud Day endorses Charlie Crist | day, charlie, senate - Election News - Northwest Florida Daily News". Nwfdailynews.com. 2010-03-29. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ^ Puerto Rico Governor Luis Fortuño Endorses Marco Rubio For U.S. Senate May 6, 2010. Accessed May 7, 2010
- ^ a b "Jim DeMint backs Marco Rubio in Florida governor race - Manu Raju". Politico.Com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
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- ^ "Congressman Miller Endorses Rubio in Senate Primary Race | The Jacksonville Observer". Jaxobserver.com. 2009-06-27. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ^ Wilson, Reid (September 17, 2009). "Brown-Waite endorses Rubio in Senate race". The Hill. Retrieved 2009-09-17.
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- ^ Davis, Susan (2010-01-06). "Florida's Rubio Gets Endorsement from Wisconsin's Rep. Ryan - Washington Wire - WSJ". Blogs.wsj.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
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- ^ a b Eric Kleefeld (2010-04-23). "Gingrich Endorses Rubio In Florida Senate Race | TPMDC". Tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ^ joel frewa says: (2009-07-14). "Marco Rubio for US Senate". Marcorubio.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: extra punctuation (link) - ^ Chuck Todd writes: (2009-10-05). "First Read - Rove for Rubio". Firstread.msnbc.msn.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: extra punctuation (link) - ^ "Mark Levin". Marklevinshow.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ^ "Laura Ingraham to Hold Event(s) for Floridas Marco Rubio". 209.157.64.200. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
{{cite web}}: C1 control character in|title=at position 44 (help) - ^ "2010: The Friskier Jeb Bush Endorses Marco Rubio - Politics - The Atlantic". Politics.theatlantic.com. 2009-05-27. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ^ "Jeb Jr. and George P Bush raising money for Marco Rubio". Blogs.tampabay.com. 2009-11-10. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
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- ^ "Steve Forbes endorses Rubio". Blogs.tampabay.com. 2010-01-28. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ^ "Candidates Endorsed By Eagle Forum PAC 2010". Eagleforum.org. 2009-11-15. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ^ "Niet compatibele browser". Facebook. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ^ "FMA PAC Unanimously Recommends Marco Rubio for US Senate Race". 2010-06-26. Retrieved 2010-07-30.
- ^ "Florida US Senate election: Libertarians qualify for first time, Democrat petitions way on, major Republican may switch to independent". Independent Political Report. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ^ "Alex Snitker for Senate 2010 | Florida's Liberty Candidate". Snitker2010.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ^ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Florida". fec.gov. Retrieved March 18, 2010.